THE FORECAST: Guineas Day Baby!
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by Mick Sharkie
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Gallops
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11 October, 2024
THE FORECAST: GUINEAS DAY BABY
The phrase “stallion making race” is thrown around a bit in racing circles, it seems that every Group 1 race has the power to turn a run of the mill young horse into Mr Golden Balls. Everyone with a two-bit share in a colt wants to win a stallion making race, it’s the equivalent of winning horse lotto. Fast horse, testicles intact, grab that Group 1 then start counting the loot.
Doesn’t get any easier right? Not unless you stumble across a young stallion at a roller disco bar in 1977.
Not all colts are born equal. And not every Group 1 race “makes” a stallion, but the Caulfield Guineas can and does – regularly. Check out that honours list. Anamoe, Ole Kirk, Super Seth, The Autumn Sun, All Too Hard, Starspangledbanner, Lonhro, Show A Heart, Redoute’s Choice – great racehorses and huge stallion appeal, they were queued up five deep when breeding season started.
BROADSIDING will be joining the stallion roster at Darley one day, it’s just a matter of how many Group 1 wins he chalks up beforehand. The son of Too Darn Hot is the absolute benchmark in this field and it will take some sort of regression of form to see him beaten. EVAPORATE and MAYFAIR are the strongest for the runner-up slot.
Who’s your favourite Wil? Will Smith? Prince Will(iam)? Will Ferrell? If he wins the Toorak ANOTHER WIL will be climbing that list and fast. Damn he gets a good run here from gate one, stalking the speed, ready to pounce, if the gap comes he’ll be the one to run down late. Expect ANTINO to charge up late with ORCHESTRAL (Empire Rose for her).
Can MR BRIGHTSIDE run a strong 2000m? We’re going to find out in the Might And Power. If he puts this lot away – and he really should – this Cox Plate is really starting to heat up. If only they got the trophy’s namesake to DJ at The Valley instead of some bloke that used to play for Hawthorn.
BEST: Caulfield R5 No. 7 JIMMYSTAR
BEST EACH-WAY: Caulfield R 4 No. 7 LADY JONES
BEST ROUGHIE: Rosehill R8 No. 7 BELCLARE