THE PUNTING MONOLOGUE "AUSTRALIAN GUINEAS SPECIAL LISTEN

Memsie Stakes Preview.

Well Group 1 racing returns to Victoria with the running of the Memsie Stakes, a weight for age contest over 1400 metres at Caulfield and what a mouth-watering line up we have in store here.  This could well be the best Memsie we have seen in a long time with a swarm of Group 1 winners and returning stars of the future.  So let’s jump into it!

I’m Thunderstruck is always a key player last time in first up finished 5th behind Tofane in the C.F Orr stakes at Caulfield over the same distance.  He did run the 2ndfastest last 200m split there and with a more genuine speed could definitely figure in the finish.  Has jumped out twice and has finished both times behind the stablemate Illation who also lines up here. Thunder is in for a big prep but may just need the run and a tad further to be at his best. He’ll be hitting the line strongly and represents good place value for punters at $8.50 and $2.90.

Cascadian could be a smokie chance here after taking out the All Aged stakes last time in.  His first up record is impressive and was very good here first up in the Orr running third.  Think his trial behind Anamoe over 1000m was very good and is a strong hope fresh over 1400 and is another one who represents good win/place value at $7.50 and $2.60.

Alligator Blood returns to Victoria with a change of ownership, and should appreciate the inside draw to be nice and positive behind the likes of Snapdancer and Lightsaber.  His first up record is very good and is 1 for 1 over the track and trip.  His jumpout over 800m behind Shooting For Gold whilst defeating Mr Brightside was good enough to see him figure in the finish here.  The soft track is a bit of a worry however he is a class horse, and is well and truly capable of taking this out – worth a look at $5.50.

Nonconformist returns here after a nice trial and will be an interesting one to watch first up.  Most likely he will target the Caulfield Cup and aim to go one better than last year. However he’s a class animal and it will be interesting to see how he’s returned for the longer feature races later on in the preparation.

Western Empire makes his Victorian debut coming off the back of two jumpout wins at Flemington and Geelong.  The Railway champion has 1 win and a minor placing to his name first up, however is coming off the back of a 266 day break.  He’s never seen a soft track and could find it difficult to make ground here.  Could prove a difficult task and is hard to take at $5.50 in this field.  However, is a class horse and will be hitting the line hard and will be one to watch.

Callsign Mav has 3 Group 1’s to his name in New Zealand and was good fresh in the Carlyon Cup last time in and has a good record over the distance.  His most recent jumpout was good however finds a very hot contest here and might need something easier however will most likely make his own race in the lead from the wide draw

Elephant was poor in the P.B Lawrence last start and will be looking to bounce back however is hard to see him improving here.  Second up form is good and has performed with the sting out of the ground but can’t see him figuring here.

Zeyrek resumes and will be one to watch as he stretches the legs before heading into the longer trips.  Hard to see him being a danger to many here but will be one to watch if keen on futures markets holding nominations for the Caulfield Cup, Melbourne Cup and Cox Plate.

Dragon Leap comes across from New Zealand and hit the line well last start at Ruakaka over 1100 in open grade.  Finds a much tougher task here however has performed over 1400 before and on a soft track.  Does race well fresh but the form it brings across isn’t good enough for this.

Lightsaber trialled well most recently at Cranbourne behind Passive Aggressive and Forgot You.  Distance form is good and has had a minor placing on soft ground.  Hard to suggest under the conditions that he will pose a threat here.

Illation could well be a genuine star in the making and has had two extremely impressive jumpouts since its listed win at Morphetville. The 4-year-old is unbeaten from three previous starts however will have to step up to a whole new level here Jamie Kah takes the ride which is a positive and has drawn a little tricky but should find a nice spot midfield and be given every possible chance to show his full potential here.  Whether he can step up to this grade is the main query but is a serious threat to the proven group 1 horses and the market seems to be very positive at $5.50 if that’s any guide to go by he could be the real deal.

Tofane is a proven group 1 winner over this track and trip.  She’s a 4 time group 1 winner and has a good enough first up record.  She’s performed well in her past 3 jumpouts at Flemington over 800 metres and is coming off a very impressive last preparation placing 3 times in feature races.  She is ultra-consistent and will most likely be in the finish here.

Duais returns and will be looking for the run as preparation before stepping up in trip.  1400 looks well and truly too short to be competitive but will be storming through the line and is another one to watch for the futures markets over a more suitable trip.

Snapdancer broke the Group 1 hoodoo last time in and had a solid trial behind Malkovich.  First up record is good and does race well fresh however 1400m first up is a query however, did run well in the Tiara in Queensland but finds a more complex field here.  Has two placings on rain effected going and will be given every chance from a good draw.  Win/place chance.

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