THE PUNTING MONOLOGUE "AUSTRALIAN GUINEAS SPECIAL LISTEN

Makybe Diva Stakes Preview

Group 1 racing returns to Flemington this week with the Makybe Diva Stakes a weight for age contest over 1600m, on what should be a track in the soft range.  With a field of 8 to do battle, it is an absolutely tantalising prospect for punters.

I’m Thunderstruck was super in the Memsie nearly chasing down Snapdancer.  He draws barrier 1 here and should get a nice cosy run along the rails behind Alligator Blood, who looks the expected leader with minimal pace in the race.  The step up to 1600m and being back at Flemington are both massive positives here having 3 starts at 1600 for 1 win and 2 seconds.  With a little give in the track, it’s hard to go past him at $2.40.  The only question is if he gets out from that rails run but if he does, is the clear on top here.

Cascadian was once again super running an eye-catching 3rd in the Memsie.  Back to 1600 now and did win second up last time in.  He’s had 6 runs at headquarters for 4 minor placings.  The super consistent galloper is always a chance wherever he goes however, concerns over winning are due to his racing pattern.  With no tempo in the race, he could be a victim of those racing traits here as the race threatens to shape up easier for those up front.  Cascadian is a genuine horse and always a place chance, but just think this might be a little tough for him with the way things might unfold.

Regal Power at $17 could be some value in this small field.  His run in the Lawrence was very good behind Mr Brightside, and he could benefit from no speed and a good draw to be more positive in the run.  He’s back to 1600, a distance range where he’s unbeaten at and add to this his second-up record is super.  The $3.70 a place might be worth a serious look-in for multiples players and could be the one to cause an upset here.

Alligator Blood was luckless in the Memsie, and second up could be fitter and ready to fire. Back at Flemington where he’s won before and will give himself every chance out in front to run them into the ground.  Second up last prep he won the Stradbroke and Tim Clarke on board is a massive positive.  The Blood hasn’t run 1600 since his 3-year-old season though which is a major worry, although if he runs the trip he’s a definite chance to upset the favourite here at $4.80.

Mo’unga failed to fire first up in Sydney after getting stuck in traffic. Back up in distance and a small field might be the key for him here, and he did run 2nd in this race behind Incentivise last year.  Wide draw makes things interesting and would rather watch him go around this time.

Nonconformist was good first up and ran a super last 200 over an unsuitable trip. Has won over 1600 in the past however this still might be a bit sharp for him, but will be another one to watch for futures markets as looks to be heading towards a Caulfield Cup.

Western Empire was ok first up, and his second-up form has been good in the past. Back to 1600 is a more suitable trip.  Last time in he won the Railway second up and might have just needed the run in the Memsie to bring him on. He’s a super talent and must be considered.

She’s Ideel might be out of her depth here first up where the others should be too sharp for her.  Has performed first up and over the distance in the past however, her most recent jumpout was plain but was stronger through the line. Prefer to watch her go around here.

Thunder the one to beat, and the value runner for mine is Regal Power. Happy Punting,

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