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Champions Day Meeting Review

Date: 05/11/22

Track: Good 4

Pattern: What a track. Could win from everywhere.

 

Race 1: Bm90 – (1600m)

Tempo: Strong early tempo for the class (2.5L inside to the 600m). Very hard to win on-pace at Flemington when the early tempo is strong. Want to be blending into the race in the 3-wide line.

Race Overview: Time was solid. There were horses all at different stages of their prep so there will be horses to follow.

French Emperor ($5.5): Hasn’t looked back since Jamie Kah went on this campaign. Love the setup, two wins in lesser grade then up in grade to get the weight relief. Particularly beneficial for acceleration horses.

Beltoro ($9): Ready to win in this grade. Going well.

Unanimous ($7): No luck. How much has he got left this campaign?

Ain’tnodeeldun ($18): Good return. No luck. Might not be next start but get him to 2000m and he can win.

Last Word: Solid race. Some coming winners.

Race 2: Bm80 – (2000m)

Tempo: Even stronger tempo than the first race (-4.3L).

Race Overview: Was not for the weak this race with the strong early tempo.

Flash Feeling ($8): Two runs at 1400m then straight to 2000m isn’t ideal so did a good job. Should have another good run in him this campaign.

Aesop ($3.2): Got sucked in thinking he would improve back on the firm surface. It is very hard to bounce back from a shocker. Might have had his heart broken by White Marlin last start.

Agnelli ($8.50): An unsexy blackblooker, but sat outside the lead on a hot tempo on a track that is hard to lead on. Fought on really well. Expect a peak run next start.

Last Word: Agnelli the one to follow.

Race 3: The Amanda Elliott – (1400m)

Tempo: +5.5L to the 600m.

Race Overview: The betting in this race tells the story. Very even bunch.

Magic Time ($8.5): Nice win. No favours from the wide gate being caught wide albeit on a slow tempo. There is something about this horse.

Get Up Girl ($51): Been massive odds both starts but run well. Should get over a trip next campaign.

Last Word: Limitations amongst some of this group. Need to pick the eyes out of it.

Race 4: Queen’s Cup – (2600m)

Tempo: Moderate tempo early.

Race Overview: They haven’t broken standard here for the class but didn’t really give themselves a chance given the early tempo.

Soulcombe ($3): Not particularly suited by the early tempo, left a little flat footed at the top of the straight but powerful late. Promising horse but favourite for the Melbourne Cup already? Seems an overreaction.

Luncies ($5.5): Every possible chance but beaten by a nice one.

Last Word: Soulcombe the one to take out of the race, obviously, but he is a hype horse now. You pay the premium in the market.

Race 5: Matriarch Stakes – (2000m)

Tempo: Very strong early tempo. Leaders entitled to puncture.

Race Overview: Well inside standard (as they should’ve) and good margins.

Atishu ($2.5): They smashed this horse in betting and it was going to win the race a long way out. Was dropping in grade, massive plus jock, mapped well. Easy game sometimes.

Steinem ($15): Had a cosy run but was probably just a little close to the hot tempo. That was her 3rd run back. Can win next start.

Last Word: Atishu may have a hard time repeating that figure on a softer tempo next start.

Race 6: Champions Sprint – (1200m)

Tempo: Soft early tempo.

Race Overview: Race has gone putrid for the class. 3.7L outside standard with no margins.

Roch ‘N’ Horse ($23): A horse like this needs the top rung horses to fail to win a race like this and that’s exactly what happened. All honours to the connections but they have been absolutely blessed with this horse.

Nature Strip ($1.7): That was about 5 Lengths below his best. Maybe the tough run in the Everest took it’s toll but that is for Chris Waller to worry about. Was completely off the map in betting. I don’t think he’s gone but looking forward to him starting fresh next campaign.

Bella Nipotina ($7.5): Said it after her win at the Valley that she isn’t up to this class away from Moonee Valley. Valley only for me with her going forward.

Giga Kick ($5.5): Held up a little but was he really savaging? More a case of him running home a little faster than the plodders in front of him.

Last Word: It was a Grand Final for some, an afterthought for others, but any way you cut it the race went terrible.

Race 7: Champions Mile – (1600m)

Tempo: 2.6L outside standard to the 600m.

Race Overview: To be able to lead all the way at Flemington you really do need to have a soft early tempo.

Alligator Blood ($6): What a job the Gai-Bott camp has done with this horse. So many WFA targets in his distance range. Doubt he can win a ‘Grand Final’ like a Cox Plate or Queen Elizabeth but can pick up plenty of races along the way.

Tuvalu ($12): He’s arrived this campaign. Will be competitive in anything he’s in with that racing pattern.

Mr Brightside ($11): Finally put him in a suitable race. Much the same with Alligator Blood in that I don’t think he can win a ‘Grand Final’ but needs to pick off a race in the lead up to one.

Private Eye ($2.2): I hope the 1600m experiment with this horse is over. Joe Pride is one of my favourite trainers but this horse was in the wrong race on Saturday. Fresh 1200m and he may be the best sprinter in the country.

My Oberon ($6.5): Just a run but not an ideal set up. Don’t drop off him next campaign.

Last Word: Private Eye is not a miler.

Race 8: Champions Stakes – (2000m)

Tempo: Slow again.

Race Overview: Well outside standard. I think what we have seen with the 3 ‘Champions’ races that the majority of the field peaked earlier in the campaign. Very hard to peak multiple times in a campaign.

Zaaki ($8): Got his win but his figures are no where near what he did in Brisbane last year. He’s good but he’s not a superstar.

Anamoe ($2.4): Tempo probably didn’t suit but also probably one run too many this time in.

I’m Thunderstruck ($3.8): Just a really ordinary racing pattern. Good horse but is he a betting proposition?

Last Word: Think we have been spoilt with Black Caviar and Winx lately and we expect our best horses to win every race. Anamoe is our best middle distance horse but he is no where near the class of Winx.

Race 9: Bm80 – (1100m)

Tempo: Even tempo.

Race Overview: Was a bit hard to review this race after the G1’s.

Snapper ($26): Specked in betting. Thought he was a Valley horse but solid enough win.

Treporti ($3.8): First up here and nothing took him into the race. Don’t drop off.

Last Word: Treporti the one to follow.

Horses to Follow:

Grand Final day for a lot of horses but a couple to follow in the next couple of weeks are:

– Agnelli – Sat outside the lead on a hot tempo.

– Treporti – Just didn’t work out for it on Saturday.

– Soulcombe – Obvious but please don’t dive into the $13 in the Melb Cup.

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