THE PUNTING MONOLOGUE "AUSTRALIAN GUINEAS SPECIAL LISTEN

Caulfield Memsie Stakes Day Meeting Review

Date: 27/08/22

Track: Soft 6

Pattern: Raced fair, no excuses for any horses.

Race 1: Punters Toolbox (Bm78) – (2000m)

Tempo: There was a strong early tempo, before a mid-race slow down, Storm King then upped the tempo from the 600m.

Race Overview: First 4 home were Rails in Run. Horses back in the field couldn’t sprint with the leaders when they took off from the 600m. The last 400m in 24.9 was slow for the day. They did break standard time but they were entitled given the tempo in the race.

Spanish Tides ($10): Big jockey change and smart change of tactics worked in his favour. Would be looking to oppose next start if it doesn’t get a favourable situation like Saturday.

Storm King ($3.5): Absolutely smashed late in betting from good camp. Tried to make it a test from the 600 and winner just had a softer run. Every chance but may have burnt the candle a bit early. Racing pattern makes him a betting proposition going forward.

Americain Angel ($4.6): Outside the lead on a strong tempo which is not ideal but hard to justify why it got beaten so far. Sacked

Last Word: Really messy race to review. Good margins and ran inside standard but first 4 home were all rails in run. Storm King is the only horse I want to be with going forward.

Race 2: Stow Storage Solutions Handicap – (1400m)

Tempo: Even tempo to the 800m (-3.6L). Suited horses up on the speed.

Race Overview: No real margins but they have done well to run inside standard considering the early tempo.

Lady Of Honour ($3): Was a drifter first up when obviously underdone. Well ridden here by Jake Noonan. She is a mare who puts herself on the speed and makes her own luck. Will win lots of races but lets not forget this was Mares company and she will find it tough when stepping up in class.

Saigon ($6) : Off a short break here and she was the best of the closers. Not particularly a horse I would want to be backing next start unless everything was going to go in her favour.

Last Word: Race has gone pretty well. Lady of Honour can win again in similar class but worry about her going up in grade as I think she has her limitations.

Race 3: Evergreen Turf Handicap – (1400m)

Tempo: Slow early tempo (-2.2L) and the leaders seemed to go too slow.

Race Overview: Messy race tempo wise. Went really slow and was a sprint home. Last 400m in 23.49 shows how much of a sprint home it was. This was the weakest class of race on the day but there are some horses to follow.

Munhamek ($6): Former HK horse having first start for Nick Ryan. Showed a really good turn of turn. Had clear running when El Rocko and others were held up. Get him up slightly in grade to get him down in the weights and he can win again.

El Rocko ($5): Held up when he needed clear running. Is absolutely flying and can win a race in this class next start.

Cardinal Gem ($4.20): Was off 56 days here. Ran well. Will be improved next start settling closer with a softer run in transit.

Pascero ($4.6): Caught wide albeit on a soft tempo. Willing to forgive as he did give a good kick at the turn. Ready to do something but from a camp who is very hard to follow.

Last Word: Nick Ryan… what a trainer! Market didn’t miss his horse here and expect his horses to be solid in the market going forward.

Race 4: ive> Handicap – (1400m)

Tempo: Went quick early (+4.8L to the 800m).

Race Overview: This race has absolutely flown. Went out quick and came home quick which is exactly what you want. It wasn’t for the feint hearted so any horses who were first up will either be busted or improve significantly.

I Wish I Win ($5 into $2.80): This horse is star. G1 placed in NZ but has changed to the Moody camp and gone to another level. G1 horse who will win a G1 race this Spring

Gentleman Roy ($5.5): Soft in the market which is understandable given the money for the favourite and the fact it was first up. Pestered in the middle stages and kept going. Will be better for that, think he is good enough to a least compete at G1 level and don’t think winning one is beyond him.

Last Word: The Race of the day. I’m happy to follow anything out of it.

Race 5: McNeil Stakes – (1200m)

Tempo: Strong early tempo (+2.1L to the 800m)

Race Overview: They went out quick early but last sectional was ordinary. Winner was in the right spot for the tempo and had clear running whereas Aft Cabin was held up.

Jacquinot ($6): Was in the perfect spot for the tempo of the race. Last sectional was slow. Cannot believe this horse is favourite for the Caulfield Guineas, has done nothing on the clock and worried about this formline. Surely there are better 3yo’s than this?

Aft Cabin ($2): This is the horse I would be taking out of the race if I had the choice. Market loved it and was ridden a bit warmer despite dropping in distance. Think it’s a more genuine 1400m-1600m horse than Jacquinot.

Last Word: I’m worried about this race. Time was nothing flash for the class and there is absolutely no way I would be backing Jacquinot in the Caulfield Guineas. Poison Odds.

Race 6:  The McCafe Stakes (1100)

Tempo: Just outside standard to the 600m (1.1L), they had a mid race slow down but really up the tempo from the 500m

Race Overview: 6 of the horses were first up in this race so there will be plenty to come in terms of improvement. In regards to this race and how it has rated, the race has gone pretty well and I think the punters will be able to find winners if they pick the eyes out of it.

Shooting For Gold ($9): A horse I have always had a lot of time for up in Qld but his racing pattern has made it hard for him to win once he has got up in grade. He really needs be cuddled up for a late charge. I’m also not convinced he is as good at 1200m (even though he has won 3 times at the trip) as he is over the shorter trips so I think the 1100 was perfect. I think he is closer to his ceiling than a few other horses in this race.

Generation ($4.20): Another horse who I’ve always liked. I think the camp has had a tough time working out his best distance. Would love to see him 3rd up and leading over 1400m. Has come back well.

Star Patrol ($3.70): Didn’t impress me here. Maybe he isn’t as good around a turn but didn’t like his last 50m, thought he was entitled to find the line a touch better. Needs to get back to the Flemington Straight to see if he is going as well as he was last prep.

Red Can Man ($4.80): Overraced a bit but just a run. Get a jockey on him please.

In The Boat ($6): Ok off a break. Think he will better for the run but good luck catching the camp.

Last Word: I think you have to pick the eyes out of this race. Winners will come out of it and there were decent runs littered thoughtout but there are also some horses who are close to reaching their level.

Race 7:  Cockram Stakes (1200m)

Tempo: About standard for the class. No excuses in terms of tempo for anyone here/

Race Overview: Going into this race I thought it was the race of the day. After the race, although they haven’t busted the clock I still think there are some really good mares to follow.

Chain Of Lightning ($7): What a camp (15 winners from his last 50 runners), what a jockey. Really like this mare, has shown versatility in her racing pattern and keeps rising to the level. Can keep winning.

She’s All Class ($41): Signs of life after terrible failure last start as $2.30 favourite. Not one of mine and happy to leave her going forward.

Kissonallforcheeks ($12): Come back really well. Needs 1400m

Passive Aggressive ($1.9): Obviously a lot of punters got burnt by her here but the market support is what I like about her. You can make excuses for her as i never like 1200m first up, and I also liked how well she travelled into the straight. Don’t drop off her.

Last Word: Do not drop off Passive Aggressive please!

Race 8: Memsie Stakes (1400m)

Tempo: Soft early tempo (3.4L outside standard) made it hard for horses back in the field.

Race Overview: A bunch of horses who are all at different stages of their prep with different goals in mind. The horse who was wound up, with a racing pattern to suit, got the win.

Snapdancer ($7.50): A very good fresh mare who took advantage of a leisurely tempo and the fact that a lot of her rivals had goals further down the track. No doubt she’s graduated to genuine G1 mare but can’t help but feel this race was made for her.

I’m Thunderstruck ($10): Huge run. Had nothing to bring it into the race and completely savaged the line. Big prep ahead and will be competitive in anything he runs. The best horse in the race.

Cascadian ($8.50): Such a Cascadian run. Going well.

Western Empire ($4.80): Cosy run in transit. Just a run.

Illation ($9): Laid an absolute turd here. Hard to rescue the campaign after that.

Alligator Blood ($5): Held up for most of the straight. Just don’t know what race is his this Spring.

Last Word: Right place at the right time for Snapdancer. She was clearly set for the race whereas a lot of her opponents have goals in mind a lot further into Spring.

Race 9: Heatherlie Stakes (1700m)

Tempo: Went quick here (-2.9L to the 600m)

Race Overview: The race tempo suited the horses who are better over more ground and really found out any horses with any heart limitations.

Emissary ($8): Really, really solid in the market. Come back brilliantly, and did have WFA form last time in. Obviously going towards the Caulfield Cup and, whilst I doubt he is up to this class, can win more races this time in.

Sheraz ($21): Good return.

Jimmy The Bear ($3): Heavily backed as he had the fitness edge on his rivals. Cosy run in transit and was entitled to win. Forget about him this campaign and oppose heavily if he has another run.

Horses to Follow:

· I Wish I Win – Group 1 horse.

· Gentleman Roy – Follow anything out of Race 4 but, in particular, this horse.

· Passive Aggressive – Don’t drop off her

· Munhamek – Liked his turn of foot. Take him up in grade, get him some weight relief and watch his acceleration

· I’m Thunderstruck – Enormous run

Horses to Bin:

· Jacquinot – I don’t think his ability matches the boom on him. Want to be against him going forward.

· Illation – Honestly, what was that? Hard to rescue a campaign off that

· Jimmy The Bear – Found his level and happy to forget about him this campaign

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