THE PUNTING MONOLOGUE "AUSTRALIAN GUINEAS SPECIAL LISTEN

Blue Diamond Day Preview

Blue Diamond 

The two-year-old Victorian feature over 1200 metres on the Sandown Lakeside circuit and what a smashing contest we have in store! Will the Victorian form hold up or will one of the interstate invaders claim the pinnacle of Victorian two-year-old racing? Here’s my preview for the feature.

Barber looks to continue his winning ways in his grand final. Was good last start in the prelude and won with a bit in hand I believe in what was a massive first up effort. Jamie Kah on board is a massive indicator that this Colt is heading in the right direction and should find a nice spot just off the speed and be storming over the top of them late. The one to beat.

Extreme Threat was a very impressive debutant last start in the Fillies Prelude. Will take plenty of improvement both physically and mentally from that run and draws to get a soft run on the speed. At long odds represents great each way value.

Little Brose was very good late first up in the Colts and Geldings Prelude behind Barber and did win second up last preparation. Could benefit from the extra 200 metres in order to turn the tables on him here and does map well to get every opportunity to be in the finish late. Place chance

Steele City brings arguably the strongest form lines into this contest. However, does meet Sandown and an anti-clockwise circuit for the first time. Blinkers and Tongue Tie are added which is a huge benefit and should sharpen up this classy filly a touch more. Draws well to sit just behind the speed and will be given every chance by the in form Blake Shinn. The main danger.

Brave Halo’s eastern states debut was good here and had little luck. Does draw the car park here but can go back find a nice spot just off midfield and be having the last crack at them late. Potential place chance.

On top hope in the 2-year-old feature is Barber with Steele City in for second, Extreme Threat third and Little Brose the next potential danger with Brave Halo an additional exotics hope.

Futurity Stakes 

A small but strong and complex field in this year’s Futurity Stakes. The Weight For Age Group 1 over 1400 metres will provide a key insight into the All-Star Mile and also a good opportunity for punters to capitalise on a small field!

I’m Thunderstruck was good late last start and was arguably presented in average condition on that day. He was very heavy and will have taken a lot of improvement out of that run. Is very good second up and has placed 4 times over this trip. The possibility of rolling more forward here gives him every possible chance to take this out with the minimal speed outside of Alligator Blood and is my on top hope.

Mr Brightside dashed home late last start in the Orr and ran some blistering sectionals when finishing 5th. He’s won on the lakeside before and has won twice second up. Main concern with him is how this race will be ran with such a small field, there is the possibility of him also rolling more forward but with that could loose his biggest asset being his turn of foot. Regardless he should be in the placings.

Alligator Blood is the only genuine leader in this field and is a genuine 7 furlong horse. He’s won 5 times over this trip in the past and has won 3 first up. His recent jumpout at Flemington was good enough when being ridden out to win but he always improves on race day. This race sets up for him and will be controlling the tempo for a long way. Genuine winning hope.

Nugget was solid last start and did beat some of the main dangers here in the Orr, he’s rock hard fit likes the distance and will be just behind Alligator Blood in the run. Only concern is with others improving physically I think he might find this affair much tougher but should be capable of rounding out the top 4.

On top hope is I’m Thunderstruck, he should be fitter after his good first up run and with the potential of rolling more forward he’s extremely well placed, Alligator Blood to hold on for second with Mr Brightside in for third and Nugget to round out the top 4.

Oakleigh Plate 

The Oakleigh Plate, the sprinting feature of the day to be run out of the Chute see’s a very strong field assembled here with plenty of chances. Over 1100 metres who will join the likes of Lankan Rupee and Russian Revolution in etching their name into history?

Chain Of Lightning was good when luckless last start behind Uncommon James and Lofty Strike in the Rubiton. Gets weight relief here dropping 5 kilos and is unbeaten second up. Has never missed the placings over this distance and from barrier 2 will be sitting just off what looks to be a hot speed early and should be running over the top of them late. The one to beat for me.

Star Patrol is the next best here. Won very convincingly first up in listed company and since then has had a quiet tick over jumpout which was good enough. Has won over 1100 in the past and will find a good position just behind the leaders to be in the finish late.

I Am Me has won her last 4 and is capable of surprising a few here. Is a distance specialist winning four from five starts over 1100 metres boasts terrific form fresh and from barrier 1 could lead and capitalise on doing little to no work in the early stages. Jamie Kah on board is a positive and is a genuine contender.

Uncommon James was good when ran down by Lofty Strike last start here in the Rubiton. Is unbeaten second up and will be much fitter for that last outing. Ben Thompson makes his way down to ride who’s had a good association with the horse winning 3 from 3 on him and drops dramatically in the weights here. Tricky draw but shouldn’t make a difference and will still get his chance out of the chute. One of the dangers.

Lofty Strike is an 1100 metre specialist and was a superb winner last start at Sandown. Has won previously second up and has beaten some key rivals from this field in the past before. He flew home last start and will be doing so again here and with luck is truely capable of taking this out.

Chain Of Lightning is my on top hope with Umcommon James in for second Lofty Strike to round out the placings with the other main dangers being I Am Me and Star Patrol in the Oakleigh Plate.

Punt on these races

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